Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Question

Will Joe Biden be ranked below Jimmy Carter in the next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey? Market resolves based on the next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey results, whenever that occurs.

https://www.c-span.org/presidentsurvey2021/?page=overall

Update 2025-07-02 (PST) Due to the postponement of the C-SPAN survey, the market will remain open and wait for the next survey to be released. The close date has been extended to accommodate this delay.

(Identical market to: source market)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 42% chance (3 traders, as of Aug 1, 2026).

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