13
110
แน€845
2025
96%
Ohio (Bernie Moreno)
81%
Arizona (Kari Lake)
72%
Texas (Ted Cruz)
71%
Pennsylvania (David McCormick)
44%
Michigan (Will update after primary)
40%
Florida (Rick Scott)
33%
Nevada (Will update after primary)

"Overperform" means the winning margin for Trump is larger, or the losing margin for Trump is smaller, than the senate candidate. If Trump overperforms, the question resolves YES.

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N/A if the candidate for Senate ends up not being the one listed in the market, or Trump is not the nominee for the GOP.

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Updated PA w/ David McCormick

Added subsidy

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