Will Trump Overperform the Senate Candidate in...
Plus
22
Ṁ2140Jan 1
96%
Texas (Ted Cruz)
96%
Ohio (Bernie Moreno)
91%
Arizona (Kari Lake)
90%
Michigan (Will update after primary)
89%
Pennsylvania (David McCormick)
78%
Florida (Rick Scott)
54%
Nevada (Will update after primary)
"Overperform" means the winning margin for Trump is larger, or the losing margin for Trump is smaller, than the senate candidate. If Trump overperforms, the question resolves YES.
Ask for other states.
N/A if the candidate for Senate ends up not being the one listed in the market, or Trump is not the nominee for the GOP.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which registered Democratic senate candidate over-performs the presidential figures the most?
In which states will Trump 2025 outperform Trump 2020?
Will DJT outperform the S&P 500 in 2024?
65% chance
Will Donald Outperform Polls in the 2024 election?
99% chance
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
38% chance
Will Trump underperform in the general polls again? (2024 RCP Average)
99% chance
Will Trump ever win
Will Trump "do well in the elections but not become president"?
5% chance