Will Trump Overperform the Senate Candidate in...
22
Ṁ1kṀ2.1kJan 1
96%
Texas (Ted Cruz)
96%
Ohio (Bernie Moreno)
91%
Arizona (Kari Lake)
90%
Michigan (Will update after primary)
89%
Pennsylvania (David McCormick)
78%
Florida (Rick Scott)
54%
Nevada (Will update after primary)
"Overperform" means the winning margin for Trump is larger, or the losing margin for Trump is smaller, than the senate candidate. If Trump overperforms, the question resolves YES.
Ask for other states.
N/A if the candidate for Senate ends up not being the one listed in the market, or Trump is not the nominee for the GOP.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which US Senators and Candidates will win?
Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump?
91% chance
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
12% chance
Will I Surpass Donald J. Trump by 2027 in leagues
20% chance
Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]
19% chance