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MANIFOLD
What free response market will Manifold create and submit to Hacker News?
9
Ṁ760Ṁ477
resolved Apr 2
100%75%
What database will this website be using on June 1st?
6%Other
5%Other
0.1%
What free response market will Manifold create and submit to Hacker News?
7%
What will be the next big startup to come out of Silicon Valley?
1.2%
What's the best VR setup?
0.2%
Which IDE will win?
0.2%
What features should the next gen smartphone have?
2%
Which of these [recent forecasting related posts] will reach highest listing on Hacker News?
0.3%
Will the San Francisco average salary top $275k on the 2022 Levels FYI End of YearPay Report
2%
Which US city will have the biggest % increase in average salary in the 2022 Levels FYI End of YearPay Report compared to the previous year.
We are consider creating a free response market on some nerdy topic, like the best tech stack for a new startup, and then submitting it to Hacker News as a way to introduce new users to Manifold. Additionally, we might award a real USD bounty in the hundreds of dollars to the top traders for the created market. Submit your suggestions here on what the question for the market we create should be.
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The Hacker News thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30729938#30731039
https://manifold.markets/Austin/what-database-will-manifold-be-prim
I sense a little insider trading in this market..
I know my bad. :-(
That's #whalebait.
That's not free-response
That seems like a good operationalization to me
That's interesting! Is there a way to make this more precise? Like the first company to reach $1 billion valuation and founded on or after Jan 1st 2022?
(win this market, by being the best :P)
You could just make #0 tradable you know.
Very funny! It's possible.

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