Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before North Korea and South Korea go to war again.
13
240Ṁ3692081
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
North Korea and South Korea are in a state of semi-permanent ceasefire. I am not counting this ceasefire as a war. If they break this ceasefire or if they end the “war” and go to war again this will resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What year will Kim Jong-Un cease being Supreme Leader of North Korea?
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2031?
71% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2039?
34% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2038?
35% chance
When will Kim Jong Un die?
41% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
27% chance
Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?
11% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2032?
55% chance
Will North Korea officially declare war on another country by the end of 2025?
4% chance