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MANIFOLD
Will front-month ICE Brent settle ≥ $100 on 5 Aug 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ26
Aug 4
41%
chance

Resolves YES if the ICE Brent Crude front-month futures contract

posts an official daily settlement price of $100.00 per barrel or

higher on August 5, 2026.

Resolves NO if that settlement is below $100.00, or if no ICE Brent

front-month settlement is published for that date.

Rules:

- Official daily settlement only (intraday prints do not count)

- Front-month ICE Brent contract only

- If August 5, 2026 is not an ICE trading day, use the last ICE

trading day before August 5, 2026

Sources (in order):

1) ICE official settlement

2) Reuters or Bloomberg print of that ICE settlement

3) oilprice.com only if 1–2 are unavailable

Close: August 5, 2026, 23:59 UTC

Resolve within 24 hours of the relevant settlement being published.

Market context
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