What will Ding Liren's score be in the 2024 World Chess Championship before tiebreakers?
47
17kṀ150k
resolved Dec 12
100%98.8%
0.0%
0
0.0%
½
0.0%
1
0.0%
0.0%
2
0.0%
0.0%
3
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
6
0.2%
7 (tie)
0.1%
0.1%
8

The base match is best of 14 between Ding Liren and Dommaraju Gukesh (Gukesh D).

The rest of the games are not played if a player has at least a 7½.

Resolves N/A if Ding Liren does not defend his title or the match does not happen.

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@creator please resolve to 6.5

bought Ṁ50 YES

Bought some 6. Ding has to push hard and loses another seems likely

bought Ṁ750 NO

Here's all 21 possible scenarios for the final 3 games https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/exact-result-of-games-12-13-14-in-w

The players are currently tied at 4½ points with 5 games to go.

Starts November 25th btw.

Note that a loss is worth 0, a draw is worth 1/2, and a win is worth 1.

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