Will I test positive for COVID in 2023?
22
closes Jan 1
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ26 +164.8%
New probability
39% +1.5%
I have never tested positive for COVID despite not being cautious and usually PCR testing when symptomatic (always at least rapid testing). I have had 5 vaccine shots, and intend to get another shot every 5-7 months.
My COVID risk management policy has been that I usually do not go out to crowded indoors venues for 2-3 weeks during peak Fall/Winter spikes. For the rest of the year, I go to crowded restaurants, bars, venues etc. regularly.
I expect to behave similarly in 2023.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Nick Allenbought Ṁ100 of YES
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https://manifold.markets/NickAllen/is-this-post-about-the-implications
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