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Debate is live streamed on YouTube!!
Resolves Based on what happens at the NYC Mayoral debate occurring on Thursday October 16 at 7pm, scheduled and sponsored by the New York City campaign finance board. Should a debate not occur at that time, whatever debate that is the first mayoral debate sponsored by the New York City campaign finance board will be used. Should no debate be hosted before the election, this market will N/a.
Resolves based on Live stream viewing, video clips, and transcripts.
‘s and s count as a mention, for example, if someone said ‘Trump’s Healthcare Bill’, that would count as a mention of Trump. Also for example, Billionaires would count as resolution of billionaire
Must be exact word otherwise. For example, saying Pre-K would not resolve Kindergarten as YES.
Hasan Piker /Hasanabi market- resolves based on live stream viewing and social media comments. If ‘Hasan Piker’ is said, resolves YES. If Someone says, Zohran is friends with a guy who said America deserved 9/11, resolves YES, as this would be clear based on past comments by candidates it refers to Hasan. If I’m unsure, I’ll review social media commentary to see if a comment is believed to refer to Hasan, and as a last resort I can do a poll to see if people believe it referred to Hasan. I WILL NOT BET ON THE HASAN QUESTION! Thank you.
Market will close just before the debate starts.
Put suggestions in the comments for more answers to add!
Update 2025-10-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The three invited candidates to the debate are Sliwa, Mamdani, and Cuomo.
Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will attempt to resolve answers that are YES as the debate is ongoing (live resolution during the debate). The debate will be available to watch on YouTube.
Update 2025-10-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For remaining unresolved answers: Creator will wait for an official transcript to be released to search for any mentions that may have been missed during live viewing before resolving NO. Traders can expedite YES resolution by providing timestamps or social media clips showing when the term was mentioned.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ847 | |
| 2 | Ṁ491 | |
| 3 | Ṁ387 | |
| 4 | Ṁ267 | |
| 5 | Ṁ64 |
People are also trading
@traders with the unresolved answers remaining, I didn’t hear them during the debate. Before I resolve no, I’ll wait for a transcript to release and search them through there, just to make sure I didn’t miss them. If you did hear them, tell me where in the debate or post a social media clip and I can resolve yes, otherwise I’ll wait. Thanks
@ItsMe Hasan piker mention was bet high on a real money site too. I was a bit surprised. Think it was at about 70% on a real money site
@JackP https://x.com/CurtisSliwa/status/1978642979083432060
Curtis says he’s in the middle with Zohran to his left, meaning Zohran would be the furthest right candidate on the stage. Is Curtis correct or did he make that up?
https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/nyc-mayor-debate-how-to-watch/
@traders some background on the debate. The debate will be available to watch on YouTube.
I will close the market in just under 27 hours, (6.59pm in New York, 1 minute before debate is scheduled to start) So time to make your predictions is now.
I intend to watch the debate and I will try resolve answers that are YES as the debate is ongoing.
More than half of NYT's panel of columnists says Cuomo won the debate (they usually have this for debates, but N/A if there's no such panel)
@Marnix do you have an example of an article from a previous election where they did this. I want to make sure the criteria is right. Thanks
Twitter’ or ‘Tweet’ is said by a candidate (X does NOT count) @traders added a new question