Will most of the US population have gotten Covid by the end of 2022?
12
100Ṁ851resolved Apr 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if >50% of the US population are estimated to have had an infection with Covid according to seroprevalence data at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab. (For reference, the current estimate is 31% for October 2021.) This will resolve a few months into 2023 when the data for December 2022 is available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ41 | |
| 2 | Ṁ33 | |
| 3 | Ṁ10 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Sort by:
Resolves YES. The most recent estimate from https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab has 57% (186m) estimated infections (data from Feb). This is up from 43% a month earlier.
See also https://www.npr.org/2022/04/26/1094817774/covid-19-infections-us-most-americans.