Will the S&P500 Close Higher on Nov 4 compared to Nov 3 (election day)

Question

Resolves YES if the SP500 closing price on Wednesday November 4 is higher than the SP500 closing price on Tuesday November 3 (election day)

Resolves according to Google finance.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (8 traders, as of Oct 31, 2026).

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