Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will a suspect be identified in the ‘DSA’ White Powder Letters by EOY 2026?
2
Ṁ125Ṁ11
Dec 31
54%
chance

Resolves YES if a suspect or suspects are indentified by 11.59pm est December 31 2026.

https://nypost.com/2026/10/16/us-news/gop-sens-ted-cruz-susan-collins-join-growing-list-of-targets-of-suspicious-white-powder-mailings/

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, law enforcement authorities publicly identify by name at least one suspect, person of interest, or charged individual in connection with the October 2026 mailing of suspicious letters bearing a "DSA" return address or references containing white powder/suspicious substances.

  • "Identified" means a federal, state, or local law enforcement agency (such as the FBI, U.S. Postal Inspection Service, or U.S. Capitol Police) officially announces the legal name of a suspect, arrestee, indicted person, or person of interest, or unseals an indictment/criminal complaint naming them.

  • Official confirmation reported by major credible news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, CBS, CNN) citing law enforcement will suffice.

  • If no individual is named by law enforcement by the deadline, or if the deadline passes with the perpetrator(s) remaining unidentified, the market resolves to NO.

I WILL NOT BET so I can resolve possible edge cases. Please ask questions if you are unsure.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!