MANIFOLD
Next Senate Democratic Leader
8
Ṁ125Ṁ116
2028
50%
Other
24%
Chris Van Hollen
11%
Brian Schatz
8%
Chris Murphy
8%
Martin Heinrich

Resolves to the next senate Democratic leader OTHER than Chuck Schumer.

Will be found as the ‘chair and floor leader’ on the Wikipedia page. If minor name change of role, market stands. Won’t n/a. (Unless Democratic Party doesn’t exist in senate)

Resolves to the Wikipedia and major media reporting

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senate_Democratic_Caucus

  • Update 2026-01-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Chuck Schumer is still the Democratic leader at the original close date (2028-12-31), the market will be extended rather than closed.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Will this close at its close date or be extended in case it's still Schumer?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy