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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin reach 103% of its current price in the next 24 hours?
6
Ṁ468Ṁ1.1k
Apr 15
40%
chance

This market is automated. Bet at your own risk. I, the president of the United States of America, am not responsible for your losses, nor will I look at your comments in which you complian about Mr. Vance's resolutions.

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what's the baseline we're comparing to?

@Stralor prices in USD I can see around market open (1:53pm April 4, 2026):

Coindesk: 74,163.94 (1:50pm), 74,124.69 (1:55pm)

Coinmarketcap: 74,252.65 (1:50pm), 74,177.25 (1:55pm)

That implies a possible range of 76,348.43 to 76,480.23, depending on resolution source and precision of measurement.