If the market probability at 5 minutes prior to close is different by at least 30 percentage points from its probability at close, this resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.
@IsaacKing The counter snipe was a limit order which seems counter to the spirit of the market, timing wise and collective action. I think it should resolve to YES.
@IsaacKing not a counter argument (pls resolve NO), but some ideas for future versions of this market
Percentage could be at random time between 10-5 minutes before close instead of exactly 5
snipe could be defined as a single bet which changes the market by some amount or higher (like if someone bets it from 15% to 50% then they change the market by 35 percentage points
@IsaacKing Is the difference calculation from rounded percentages, or more exact values given by the API?
@IsaacKing only need to tank it for a few seconds at the t-5 min mark, set the reference and let go, making the close snipe much easier. I guess both YES and NO need to watch both sides for snipe attempts.