Will Manifold support third-party advertising by the end of 2023?
resolved Mar 21

This could include traditional ads to the side of the page content, ads that show up in the market feed, a special type of market that is an ad, etc.

Personally, I'd love to see a special type of advertising market that integrates with advertiser metrics and resolves automatically, and gets promoted on the homepage. Then advertisers could create a market like "Will at least 90% of people who buy our product mark that they were satisfied with it a month later", write up a blurb for their product in the description, and then the market resolves automatically somehow. This would allow people to advertise on Manifold and help subsidize the platform while still subscribing to the truthfinding ethos we have here.

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
Sort by:
IsaacKing avatar
Isaac Kingbought Ṁ300 of YES


Looks to me like this resolves YES. Any counterarguments?

SamuelRichardson avatar
Sampredicted NO at 41%

Although I just saw a trade by someone who works on Manifold betting YES. I'm screwed aren't I.

JamesGrugett avatar
Jamesbought Ṁ100 of YES
SamuelRichardson avatar
Sambought Ṁ20 of NO

I'm going to throw some M at NO. I don't know how Manifold plans to monetise the site but (IMHO) advertising is not a great way to do it. I think they'll explore other options first.

The idea in the description is interesting but what's in it for the advertiser? Seems like a lot of risk to put a product up where you might get negative feedback for whatever reason.

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King

@SamuelRichardson If a prediction market thinks your product is good, it's probably actually good. Smart people won't ignore that like they will most other forms of advertising.

KatjaGrace avatar
Katja Grace

I came to this market to comment basically the idea you describe above, which I think would be cool.