Will I one-box in Newcomb's Problem?
5
110Ṁ1152100
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves once we have the technology to perform the experiment. The stakes must be significantly higher than the amount of mana in this market, and high enough to make the amount in the second box plausibly matter more to me than any signaling motive.
Resolves N/A if I experience information-theoretic death or the state of the world is such that people who one-box in Newcomb's problem are at a disadvantage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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