Will I one-box in Newcomb's Problem?
6
Ṁ110Ṁ1352100
91%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves once we have the technology to perform the experiment. The stakes must be significantly higher than the amount of mana in this market, and high enough to make the amount in the second box plausibly matter more to me than any signaling motive.
Resolves N/A if I experience information-theoretic death or the state of the world is such that people who one-box in Newcomb's problem are at a disadvantage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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