Will you guess the entity in less than 100 questions?
Will this question resolve above 50%?
Will this question close above 50%?
Will this question close below 57%?
Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?
Will this question close above 70%?
Will the CSU get more than 42%?
In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)
Will the 2,000th trade for this question be purchased or sold between 45% and 55%
How much will we believe SBF committed willful fraud in the FTX collapse after 1 year? [Poll, resolves to avg %]
Will this question close at exactly 13% at the end of 2023?
What is your intuition about this probability comparison?
Is the probability of dying in the Snake Eyes Paradox 1/36?
There's a 70% chance this question will close with a yes.
Will this question have a percentage <50% after one day?
What percentage of movies nominated for best picture will be options in the linked market? (read description)
Will Claire Wang (@clairebookworm) meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 1%?
Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?
Will more than 5% of p(doom) come alone from autistic people collectively not known to de-escalate when they could have?
Will this question have a lower than 90% chance of resolving to "yes" when it closes?