
Will anywhere in the US, UK, Canada, or EU mandate car kill switches that can be used by law enforcement before 2030?
Will anywhere in the US, UK, Canada, or EU mandate car kill switches that can be used by law enforcement before 2030?
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Any jurisdiction counts, could be a single state or county. It must be in the stated country/group at the time of market resolution.
The kill switch could either shut down the car while running, or prevent it from starting. It must work from at least 100 meters away.
It must be mandated in at least some cars, like "all new cars within a certain price range". Doesn't need to be all of them.
At least some law enforcement must have access to it. Could be restricted to only the FBI or whatever.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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