Will anyone with at least 50,000 fans be discovered to have been using an anonymous Manifold account by the end of 2024?
Plus
21
Ṁ1645Jan 1
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Fans" means Twitter followers, Youtube subscribers, etc.
The account must have been at least somewhat active on Manifold prior to the discovery of its owner's identity. I must be at least 90% confident that it does in fact belong to that person in order to resolve this market positivly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold's Twitter Account reach X followers in 2024? (and more related questions)
Will Manifold have more than 11000 Monthly Active Users at the end of 2024?
43% chance
How many monthly active Users will Manifold reach before the end of 2024?
Which active Manifold User will have the highest number of followers on Twitter at the end of 2024?
By the end of 2024, will anyone have used Manifold to gain fame elsewhere?
22% chance
Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030?
24% chance
≥2000 engaged users on Manifold in 2024?
8% chance
Will I have more followers on Manifold than Twitter by end of 2025?
32% chance
Will Manifold hit 2,500 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
81% chance
Will i hit 50 followers on Manifold before 2025?
39% chance