Will anyone snipe this market right before close?
Basic
32
á¹€7441
resolved Apr 12
Resolved
NO

The "snipe window" is the last 5 minutes prior to market close. If the lowest price of the market within the snipe window is at least 50 percentage points different from the highest price within the snipe window, this market resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Get
á¹€1,000
and
S3.00
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I was thinking that someone will surely swing the market for me......

I see...

predicted NO

I'm going to try to ruin this some way, but don't have any ideas yet

if you have any ideas but dont have enough money/dont want to risk money dm me on discord i'll split profit with u (discord is DeadRhino#7339)

predicted YES

@DeadRhino If the liquidity is low enough, you just buy a bunch of NO and then immediately sell it, followed by buying a bunch of YES.

also @IsaacKing if you want me to not try to manipulate the market lmk but I feel like a big part of self resolving markets is manipulation

@DeadRhino Go for it :)

@IsaacKing ok cool

@DeadRhino looks like you got ruined

@zoro i made like 100 profit i think

predicted NO

@DeadRhino really? you are holding 2900 Yes shares right now

predicted YES

@zoro i know

@zoro They sold their NO at profit, and bought a bunch of cheap YES in case the sniper came through

predicted YES

@deagol i had a limit order in case of a sniper

predicted NO

@DeadRhino right, aka hedge, precisely a thing designed to prevent ruin

predicted NO

@deagol From what I saw, @DeadRhino lost 600 mana overall.

@zoro im also giving @DeadRhino like 400-700 mana for colluding with me

predicted NO

@zoro 62 profit

predicted NO

@zoro here’s the ruination

predicted NO

@deagol poor guy. Here we have one less Manifold community member

predicted NO

@zoro right, betting all in 1k mana on a self-resolving gamble, invaluable loss for manifold community

So the question is really, will >= 2 people snipe the market right before close such that the highest and lowest wagers right before close are different by >= 50%?

I think this will far more easily resolve YES; the last one was unfortunate (not sure if I'm glad or not that I pulled out to go hiking)

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