Will anyone in the Manifold MTG tournament deck out?
resolved May 26

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES

This happened, I'm confused

predicted YES

@Wobbles Ian and I's first game ended in a deck out

predicted NO

@Wobbles I was prepared for such a possibility, but you sure timed it right to ruin the NO bettors!

predicted NO

@ian Do you agree with Wobbles' report? There was a loss by deck-out?

@TylerColeman yup, it did happen

predicted NO


predicted NO

I haven't heard about this happening. I'll leave this open for a little longer just in case anyone has been keeping it a secret, and then resolve to NO if no one mentions anything.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Did this actually happen in one of the earlier games? Didn't happen in top 4

bought Ṁ300 of NO

@Conflux I feel like we'd have heard about it

bought Ṁ50 of NO

No shot, although this market existing might incentivise people to do this adversarially.

predicted NO

@CubityFirst is it possible to tie in magic? lol

@DesTiny It is possible, though pretty hard, to draw a game of magic. I had a look at the starter decklists and can even confirm that it's possible with cards that could appear in this tournament. The monoblack deck, e.g., has a copy of [[Bad Deal]] which causes each player to lose 2 life as part of its effect, which could result in all players going to zero or less life simultaneously.

However, for the tournament, you'll be playing matches, so you'll just keep playing games until someone has won two. (I'm actually not 100% certain Arena implements that rule correctly, which I guess is another pointer to how rare this situation is.)

predicted NO

@zygohistomorphic seems like I have a deck to use

predicted NO

You can also agree to an intentional draw if you want to.

bought Ṁ150 of NO

how common is this?

predicted NO

@DesTiny Depends on the format. If it's a format with a mill deck, pretty common. With just the intro decks, seems unlikely.

@IsaacKing Grave Matters (BG) is a self-mill deck, I think it can easily deck out if the game enters in a stalemate and the player isn't cautious