The most popular market to be resolved incorrectly in 2023 will have how many unique traders?
5
closes Jan 1
142
expected

This includes only markets resolved in 2023. I will not count markets for which it's unclear if they resolved correctly due to ambiguous resolution criteria.

I'll rely on the community to link me to incorrectly-resolved markets, I'm not going to check every single one myself.

If Manifold allows us to reverse resolutions, a market that was resolved incorrectly and then reversed will not count as long as the reversal happens before the end of the year. This market only counts markets that permanently resolved incorrectly.

If the result is out of range, resolves to the nearest in-range number. (10 or 1000.)

Get แน€500 play money

Related questions

Will I have 40,000 unique traders on my markets by the end of September?
Will more than 30 traders participate in this question within a week?
VAfc3f avatarV A
93% chance
Will this market's % Yes be lower than the number of traders?
Capresis avatarCapresis
47% chance
Will the Cabbage group have at least 100 markets by the end of September?
JosephNoonan avatarPlasma Ballin'
50% chance
Will "Will it be common for non-programmers to create scripts for AI by 2033" get more than 100 traders by September 26?
ChrisGreene avatarChris Greene
9% chance
Will this market reach 200 traders by the end of 2023?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
81% chance
Will any of my markets have 1000 traders by the end of 2023?
Will any CGP Grey market get at least 200 traders by the end of 2023?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
35% chance
Will this market get 100 or more Traders before 2024?
Base avatarBase
61% chance
Will I make a market with at least 100 traders this year?
tailcalled avatartailcalled
66% chance
Will I create a market with 100 unique traders in 2023?
Toby96 avatarToby
66% chance
Will any of my markets about prediction market longevity have at least 100 traders by the end of 2023?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
29% chance
Will the trading bonus be increased for the first few unique traders?
derikk avatarDerik K
23% chance
Will this market have more than 1000 trades (not unique traders), while the transaction volume stays below M20,000
long avatarLong Hoang
34% chance
Will any of my markets get more traders than The Market in 2023?
Conflux avatarConflux
14% chance
Will any long-term market have at least 1000 traders by the end of 2023?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
49% chance
Will this market have at least 500 traders by the end of 2023?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
19% chance
Will my Unique Traders to Total Markets ratio be 10+ by end of 2023?
CarsonGale avatarCarson Gale
66% chance
Will any market get >10k unique traders?
Manifold avatarManifold
17% chance
Will I reach 1000 traders on my profile in 2023?
MrLuke255 avatarMrLuke255
69% chance
Sort by:
IsaacKing avatar
Isaacbought แน€10 of HIGHER
1 reply
XComhghall avatar
XComhghallpredicts LOWER

@IsaacKing Wait but the resolution was corrected? So no longer counts?

XComhghall avatar
XComhghallpredicts LOWER
XComhghall avatar
XComhghallbought แน€3 of LOWER

What was the most popular market resolved incorrectly in 2022?

The only markets I know were resolved incorrectly:

3 replies
dominic avatar

@XComhghall This one was misclicked and resolved incorrectly with 316 traders: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-5b3361923e29

XComhghall avatar
XComhghallpredicts LOWER

@IsaacKing Will you consider N/A resolutions to be incorrect? To me they are just like cancelling the market.

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac

@XComhghall Yeah, if N/A is clearly wrong, I'll count that.