AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028?
11
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k2027
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves the same as /Bayesian/ai-beats-minecraft-rsg-in-under-10-z56AZNtIyL except with a different cutoff.
At present only one human has attained this goal, though another proved it doable in 6:17.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Humanoid robot completes Minecraft before 2030?
37% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
9% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?
29% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
40% chance
AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?
53% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
31% chance
Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?
20% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
79% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
66% chance
Isaac King vs. @Jim - $1000 USD on whether AI will beat Minecraft in under 10 minutes