Trump vs. Harris: If the US Presidential Election were held today, who would win?
19
แน€100แน€2.6k
Jan 31
Kamala Harris65%

Market Overview: This market is a community poll regarding a hypothetical 2026 US Presidential matchup between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

Resolution Criteria:

  1. Final Vote Count: This market will resolve based ONLY on the final number of votes (total poll count) recorded on this platform at the time of closing.

  2. Closing Date: The market will officially close on February 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

  3. The Winner: Whichever candidate has the higher number of votes at the exact moment of closing will be declared the winner.

  4. Ties: In the event of an exact numerical tie in votes, the market will resolve 50/50 between both options.

  5. Nature of the Bet: This is a subjective sentiment poll. It does not reflect official US government election results or actual voting outside of this platform.

Place your bets on who you think will lead the poll by February 1st!

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I don't think the incentives here align with the information you wish to gain. People are going to trade to win mana, not to which side they truly believe in.

Could you please clarify what a vote is? I know you wrote "(total poll count)" but I don't know what that is.

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