Resolution Criteria

The market resolves based on the final medal tally from the 2026 Winter Olympics, taking place February 6-22, 2026 in Milano and Cortina d'Ampezzo, Italy. The nation with the highest total medal count (gold, silver, and bronze combined) wins. Resolution will be determined by the official Olympic medal count published on Olympics.com or the IOC official results.

Background

Norway captured 37 medals to top the 2022 Winter Olympics medal table, 10 more than Germany in second place and 12 more than Team USA in third. Norway has finished as the top nation in three straight editions of the Winter Games. Norway's dominance is due to its wealth of talent on skis, while Germany will challenge for the top spot because of its control over the sliding sports. The United States typically casts a wider net of medal opportunities at the Winter Olympics, with most American focus on figure skating and ice hockey, but other sports like snowboarding will receive attention due to athlete performances.

Considerations

The NHL allowing its players to compete in the Milano Cortina 2026 Games for the first time since 2014 gives the U.S. a strong chance to challenge Canada for ice hockey gold. This represents a significant variable that could impact the USA's total medal count compared to previous Winter Olympics.

This description was generated by AI.