I got deferred early action. meow! I reserve both the right to bet on this market before 3/14, as well as to resolve it N/A. A wait-list will extend this market until resolution of said status.
EDIT: I got waitlisted today. If any future applicants are reading this in the future, please please please write good essays, and do well in school, regardless of all other accomplishments.
1,000People are also trading
Those with opinions on P(I get accepted to MIT | waitlist is nontrivial) may be interested in https://manifold.markets/Incompleteusern/will-mit-accept-anyone-from-their-2, as I think one can compute this quantity by dividing the two relevant probabilities.
@Incompleteusern I assume you resolve yes if you (on the off chance) get off the waitlist?
EDIT: nvm I just read the description