Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Jun'ya Ōta (ZUN), the creator of the Touhou Project, physically attends a public or ticketed convention (such as an anime, gaming, or fan convention) held within the United States at any point before January 1, 2030.

For the market to resolve to YES, the following conditions must be met:

• Physical Presence: ZUN must physically travel to and be present at the convention venue in the United States. Virtual appearances, video call Q&As, pre-recorded video messages (such as the one sent to TouhouFest in 2026), or digital-only representations will not suffice.

• Verification: Attendance must be confirmed by an official convention announcement, credible gaming/anime news outlets (such as Anime News Network), or ZUN's official Twitter/X account (@hakurei_kannushi).

If no verified physical attendance at a US convention occurs before January 1, 2030, this market resolves to NO.

Background

Jun'ya Ōta, known professionally as ZUN, is the sole developer, programmer, writer, and composer behind Team Shanghai Alice and the highly influential Touhou Project bullet hell series. ZUN rarely travels internationally, though he has made physical appearances in the United States in the past, notably attending Anime Weekend Atlanta in 2013 and Anime Expo in Los Angeles in 2016.

While Western fan-run conventions like TouhouFest in Torrance, California, have grown in prominence, ZUN's recent involvement has been remote; for instance, he sent a pre-recorded video message to TouhouFest in June 2026 to announce a mainline game remaster but was unable to attend in person due to scheduling. This market tracks whether he will make another physical trip to a US event before the end of the decade.

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