Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2030, Cygames officially releases a playable (trainable) character in the mobile game Umamusume: Pretty Derby that is based on a real-life racehorse whose racing career was primarily based in the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

• Playable Character: Defined as a character added to the trainable roster (obtainable as a 1★, 2★, or 3★ trainee from the Pretty Derby Gacha) in either the Japanese or official Global versions of the mobile game. NPCs, support-card-only characters, or characters appearing exclusively in anime/manga do not qualify until they are playable/trainable in the game.

• Primarily based in the United States: The real-life horse must have run the majority of its career starts in the U.S., or spent its primary racing career there (e.g., winning major U.S. races like the Triple Crown or Breeders' Cup).

• Excluded Horses: Foreign-bred horses that were imported to Japan at a young age and ran their primary racing careers under the Japan Racing Association (JRA) (e.g., Grass Wonder, El Condor Pasa, Taiki Shuttle, Hishi Amazon, Agnes Digital, Symboli Kris S, etc.) do not qualify for a YES resolution, as they are already in the game and are historically classified as Japanese-trained JRA runners.

• Source of Truth: Announcements on the official Umamusume: Pretty Derby Japanese website (https://umamusume.jp/) or official social media channels.

Background

The playable roster of Umamusume: Pretty Derby consists almost entirely of horses that raced in Japan under the JRA. While several playable characters were bred in the United States, they were imported as yearlings or two-year-olds and ran their primary careers in Japan.

Some American racehorses have made appearances in spin-off media. For example, the character Obey Your Master (based on the American horse Pay the Butler, winner of the 1988 Japan Cup) and Michelle My Baby (based on My Big Boy) appear in the manga Cinderella Gray and have minor anime cameos. However, neither is currently playable in the mobile game.

With Cygames expanding its Western footprint—including sponsoring major U.S. events like the Breeders' Cup and the Kentucky Derby, and releasing the Global version of the game—fans frequently debate whether Cygames will overcome international licensing hurdles to officially add legendary American champions (such as Secretariat, Sunday Silence, or American Pharoah) to the playable roster.

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