@Conflux (Jacob) and I are on a team to get more sleep - specifically, to go to bed by 10:15pm on school nights. We have another market to bet on how many minutes over 10:15pm we stay up, on average, for school nights for the months of February and March:

Jacob's bedtime tends to range from 10:15pm-11:30pm, and mine tends to range from 11:30pm-2:00am, which you might think means he's much more likely to do this than me, but I've been historically quite successful at following through with personal goals put on Manifold. We competed this week on who would have more minutes past 10pm, and we both brought our averages way down. Now we're teaming up.

But all teams have a weak link, and the question is, who will it be? What percentage of those (average) minutes over 10:15pm will be Jacob's fault?

See this spreadsheet for the most recent data:

Here's a link to the spreadsheet in case the embedding is weird: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12X-6v5vm6UWStsFl1ODVgz8AnmtqYuLYI1Ns-5SQM7E/edit

Close date updated to 2023-03-30 9:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-03-30 10:14 pm