See @Conflux's market (https://manifold.markets/Conflux/how-many-total-minutes-after-10pm-w?r=SW1iZW5z https://manifold.markets/Conflux/how-many-total-minutes-after-10pm-w?r=SW1iZW5z) for more details. Basically, for tonight (Monday night) through Thursday night, how many more minutes will I stay up past 10pm than Jacob (@Conflux).
This market resolves to my answer to my answer minus the answer to Jacob's market (not counting Sunday, for which he did not stay up any minutes past ten).
I have a very bad sleep schedule but I have a reasonable track record for following through with markets. I think 10 is a bit ambitious for me, but 10:30 could be doable.
(I am counting "time in bed" as "time not staying up" unless I'm egregiously wasting time not sleeping on purpose.)
Current number of minutes more than Jacob: 97
Time in bed:
Monday: 10:35 (this is the earliest I've gone to bed on a regular day for some time)
Tuesday: 10:16
Wednesday: 10:45
Thursday: 10:25
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ83 | |
| 2 | Ṁ12 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1 |
@CarletonImbens Should have bet "higher" and then bugged @Imbens near bedtime with fun questions
@CarletonImbens That was my plan to do to Jacob, but then I realized that I'd have to stay up to do it
@CarletonImbens Also, you've still got a chance. Check out the other bedtime markets for more fun predicting
“Recently I’ve been shooting for 10:30 and the best I’ve done is 11:30” -Imbens
