Mirror life created by EOY2030?
15
1kṀ1314
2030
16%
chance

This market resolves YES if by December 31, 2030 at 11:59 PM UTC, researchers publicly announce and credibly demonstrate the creation of a mirror life form—a synthetic organism that uses the opposite chirality (mirror-image versions) of fundamental biological molecules (e.g., L-amino acids replaced with D-amino acids, and D-sugars replaced with L-sugars) in at least one complete biochemical system, including:

  • Genome replication,

  • Transcription and translation,

  • Energy metabolism,

  • Cell membrane formation.

The created organism must be capable of autonomous replication, at least in controlled laboratory conditions, and demonstrably not reliant on conventional (non-mirrored) life to function or replicate. The mirror life form can be either:

  • Fully synthetic (created de novo from non-living components), or

  • A heavily modified version of a natural organism where all essential biomolecules are replaced by their mirror analogues, and the resulting system operates independently.

Partial systems (e.g., isolated mirror enzymes, non-replicating mirror protocells) do not count.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

  • By the end of 2030, there is a public, peer-reviewed publication, preprint, or press release from a credible institution or research group announcing the creation of a replicating mirror-life system as described.

  • The achievement is covered by at least two reputable science or general media outlets (e.g., Nature News, Science, Scientific American, New York Times Science, MIT Technology Review).

  • The system:

    • Contains mirror versions of all key biological molecules (proteins, nucleic acids, lipids),

    • Exhibits autonomous replication (not reliant on standard-cell co-factors, enzymes, or helper systems),

    • Operates through fundamentally mirror-biochemical processes (e.g., D-RNA being transcribed from mirror DNA and translated by a mirror ribosome using D-proteins).

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