
This market resolves YES if by December 31, 2030 at 11:59 PM UTC, researchers publicly announce and credibly demonstrate the creation of a mirror life form—a synthetic organism that uses the opposite chirality (mirror-image versions) of fundamental biological molecules (e.g., L-amino acids replaced with D-amino acids, and D-sugars replaced with L-sugars) in at least one complete biochemical system, including:
Genome replication,
Transcription and translation,
Energy metabolism,
Cell membrane formation.
The created organism must be capable of autonomous replication, at least in controlled laboratory conditions, and demonstrably not reliant on conventional (non-mirrored) life to function or replicate. The mirror life form can be either:
Fully synthetic (created de novo from non-living components), or
A heavily modified version of a natural organism where all essential biomolecules are replaced by their mirror analogues, and the resulting system operates independently.
Partial systems (e.g., isolated mirror enzymes, non-replicating mirror protocells) do not count.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if:
By the end of 2030, there is a public, peer-reviewed publication, preprint, or press release from a credible institution or research group announcing the creation of a replicating mirror-life system as described.
The achievement is covered by at least two reputable science or general media outlets (e.g., Nature News, Science, Scientific American, New York Times Science, MIT Technology Review).
The system:
Contains mirror versions of all key biological molecules (proteins, nucleic acids, lipids),
Exhibits autonomous replication (not reliant on standard-cell co-factors, enzymes, or helper systems),
Operates through fundamentally mirror-biochemical processes (e.g., D-RNA being transcribed from mirror DNA and translated by a mirror ribosome using D-proteins).