Will the final pool of this market be divisible by a prime number?
17
100Ṁ2315
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
YES
"Yes" if the amount in the pool is divisible by one or more prime numbers. Use the Sieve of Eratosthenes, a script, your memory from math class, or the Web for reference. #meta #math
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It turns out that weird mystery markets are very engaging. I'm exited to see what happens tomorrow!
This is an (intentionally or unintentionally) confusing market. It asks whether the final pool size will be a divisible by one or more prime numbers which is true for every integer greater than one (including primes as they are divisible by themselves) by fundamental theorem of arithmetic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_theorem_of_arithmetic . But in the description it asks to "Use the Sieve of Eratosthenes" which is an algorithm to generate primes. It can hence be interpreted as "whether the final pool size will be divisible by one or more primes other than itself" that can be translated (without any change in meaning) to "whether the final pool size will be a composite number" . I'm not sure
Strangely, the Payout if MKT value was higher than the Payout if YES value.
If Ichiro Lambe doesn't come back to decide the market, I assume that Manifold Markets will step in and resolve it YES?
This is a very confusing market.
"Payout if NO: M$ 30 (+2870%)" A 3% chance of fraud/misclick doesn't seem unreasonable to me
There's a little bit to win. He started with a 100 ante, though most of that was on yes!
This will definitely resolve true, but there’s no money to be won here.
Uh, I think you may mean "Will the final pool be prime?". Otherwise, I've got some bad news for you: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_theorem_of_arithmetic
Won't this definitely resolve as YES?
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