Will the final pool of this market be divisible by a prime number?
17
24
Ṁ100
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
YES
"Yes" if the amount in the pool is divisible by one or more prime numbers. Use the Sieve of Eratosthenes, a script, your memory from math class, or the Web for reference. #meta #math
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bought Ṁ1 of YES
It turns out that weird mystery markets are very engaging. I'm exited to see what happens tomorrow!
bought Ṁ1 of YES
This is an (intentionally or unintentionally) confusing market. It asks whether the final pool size will be a divisible by one or more prime numbers which is true for every integer greater than one (including primes as they are divisible by themselves) by fundamental theorem of arithmetic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_theorem_of_arithmetic . But in the description it asks to "Use the Sieve of Eratosthenes" which is an algorithm to generate primes. It can hence be interpreted as "whether the final pool size will be divisible by one or more primes other than itself" that can be translated (without any change in meaning) to "whether the final pool size will be a composite number" . I'm not sure
sold Ṁ294 of YES
Strangely, the Payout if MKT value was higher than the Payout if YES value.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
If Ichiro Lambe doesn't come back to decide the market, I assume that Manifold Markets will step in and resolve it YES?
bought Ṁ1 of YES
This is a very confusing market.
bought Ṁ1 of NO
"Payout if NO: M$ 30 (+2870%)" A 3% chance of fraud/misclick doesn't seem unreasonable to me
bought Ṁ10 of YES
There's a little bit to win. He started with a 100 ante, though most of that was on yes!
bought Ṁ10 of YES
This will definitely resolve true, but there’s no money to be won here.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Uh, I think you may mean "Will the final pool be prime?". Otherwise, I've got some bad news for you: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_theorem_of_arithmetic
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Won't this definitely resolve as YES?

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