When is the first time Isaac del Toro no longer wears pink?
18
2kṀ13kJun 1
55%
He will win. He will always wear it.
0.7%
After Stage 15 (Fiume Veneto to Asiago) Sun May 25
0.9%
After Stage 16 (Piazzola sul Brenta to San Valentino) Tues May 27
1.8%
After Stage 17 (San Michele all'Adige to Bormio) Wed May 28
1.8%
After Stage 18 (Morbegno to Cesano Maderno) Thu May 29
1.8%
After Stage 19 (Biella to Champoluc) Fri May 30
36%
After Stage 20 (Verrès to Sestrière) Sat May 31
1.3%
After Stage 21 (Roma to Roma) Sun Jun 1
This is for Giro d'Italia 2025. Isaac del Toro currently is leading the GC by a 1:20 margin over his nearest competitor, but the mountain stages are just starting.
It will only resolve with "He will win. He will always wear it.", if he keeps Pink from now until the end of the race.
IF he loses it and gains it back and wins, it will resolve on the day he loses it. Maybe there will be a new market after that.
If he crashes/abandons during a stage, someone else will have it after that stage. So in essence, he 'loses' pink.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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is leading with the pink Jersey, and he has a ~55% chance of winning based on historical rates.
