Seems unreasonably high. Ukraine isn’t doing much in the way of advances nowadays. We don’t know what role the DPRK soldiers will be placed in, but it’s possible that they’re not going to be front line troops.

I guess if defections count as captures, it becomes more likely?

@creator "before 2024" in the title would have to mean it would already have had to happen, in 2023 or earlier. Did you mean "before 2025"?

@DanielTilkin yes. I updated the title.