🏅 Top traders

too optimistic guys, not so easy to see a rabbit

Don't trade on this market unless you know the creator's past history. They have some clearly misresolved markets (e.g. the meteor market) that Manifold didn't take action on due to the resolution being unverifiable. I lost mana on some previous animal sightings markets because I didn't realize they were made by the same person who made the meteor market.

If you want more details, there is a discussion on Discord here: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/938171760237477998/1109505465429266462

Tldr, it is beyond reasonable doubt that this creator is intentionally misresolving their markets.

@JosephNoonan Sorry to hear this. These are actually very serious markets based on pure probability. Meteorite hit the house back in the days and resolved YES, then animal sightings all revolved according to the reality. If you're a bad predictor don't ask for Manifold to intervene, just bet on other easier market for you. For those who ask a picture for the animal(s): you should understand that is not always possible to take a photo, especially when it's rare animal or very quick to appear/disappear. A picture doesn't prove anything btw, if I need to tell you. Market is pure probability - play at your own risk and please don't complain.

@JosephNoonan Thanks for the heads up. I’ve also become a bit suspicious of these markets, though, sure, okay at your own risk.