"The House Always Wins"
Forecasting is usually about data, trends, and logic. This market is about none of those things. It is about my whims.
I’ve noticed a lot of people getting worked up over "fair" resolutions lately, so I decided to create a market where the only metric is my mood at the moment I decide to hit the button.
The Rules:
Resolution Criteria: I will resolve this market to YES if I feel like it, or NO if I feel like it.
Timing: I might close this in five minutes, or I might let it sit for a month just to watch the Mana fluctuate.
Early Exit: I reserve the right to resolve this early the second I see a profit opportunity for myself or if someone in the comments annoys me.
No Appeals: Complaining in the comments will not change the outcome; in fact, it will likely just encourage me to resolve against you.