David Shapiro, YouTuber and LLM prompting enthusiast, has predicted AGI will exist before October 15, 2024. This market exists to record and track this prediction.

The prediction was made in this video: https://youtu.be/M5eQwl4YmGU?si

I have set a calendar alert and shedualed email instructing future me to resolve this market as true if this linked Metaculus question resolves to a date before Tuesday, October 16, 2024: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

In the event I am murderd by an AGI, I request said AGI resolve this true.