Will Turkey's Parliament ratify Sweden's entry into NATO before Hungary's?
61
1.2K
900
resolved Jan 23
Resolved
YES

Resolves N/A if neither Parliament goes through with it before market ends at the end of year 2025.

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bought Ṁ40 of NO

@Gabrielle Doesn't resolve YES until Erdogan signs. It's not ratified yet.

bought Ṁ1,250 of YES

@Shump It’s already been ratified, just not signed into law. See eg.
http://p.dw.com/p/4baWP “Turkey's parliament ratifies Sweden's accession to NATO”.

bought Ṁ250 of YES

@Shump The question is about Turkey's Parliament, and they've done their part, so YES.

bought Ṁ570 of YES

@LasseRasinen agreed, the question title specifically says parliament.

Apologies in advance for bad phrasing in the case that Erdogan now stalls and some people feel the spirit of the question hasn't been fulfilled, but I think the case is clear enough for resolution.

bought Ṁ300 of YES

@JimAusman meanwhile in Hungary:

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@HenriThunberg Loud groaning noises

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
bought Ṁ155 of NO

@Crypticat Are you Viktor Orban? If so, I'm nervous. If not, wyd?

predicted YES

@Domer just here clicking buttons

Suspicious Monkey GIF by MOODMAN

boughtṀ100YES

@BTE was this triggered only by the Stoltenberg media comment, or something else?

bought Ṁ0 of NO

Looking back at the history of the market, this feels more and more like a 50/50 coin flip. That said, I put an exit order at 69% in case Turkey gets whatever bribe they're looking for first and I'm asleep at the time.