Will I have an A in my Chinese class after finals?
14
10
270
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES

Resolves to YES if my grade in Chinese V is [0.93,+infinity) after grades are finalized. Otherwise, resolves NO.

Background:

I have never gotten below an A in chinese before. Last year, extra credit brought my grade to a 98% before finals and I kept a 95% final grade. This year, I'm starting with a 96% before the final oral and final written. I will comment with all relevant grades when they occur.

Although I have never gotten below in A before, this year I have been significantly busier than previous years, which is something to note. Usually, a majority of the Chinese class gets an A.

Close date updated to 2023-01-05 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-03 11:59 pm

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predicted YES

I got an A, thankfully (notification arrived roughly, ah, 47 seconds ago and counting). Feel free to trade up to 100%. :)

predicted YES

Also, as a sidenote, once the grades are released I'll post a comment here and let people trade up to ~100 or ~0 (hopefully the former), but not participate in those trades myself.

sold Ṁ12 of YES

Got an A- on my final Oral, which is somewhat concerning. I'd need between an 80 and 90 or so on the written final, as of now, to keep an A. But the probability is so high it seems +EV to buy no, despite being very depressing.

predicted YES

@Heliscone Best of luck! (on the test, maybe not the no shares :) )

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@muffins Thank you! The written final is now over, and I estimate a decent chance of an A now, which is nice

predicted YES

@Heliscone Yay, congrats! 🎉