MANIFOLD
When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?
7
Ṁ175Ṁ547
Dec 31
May 29, 2026
6%
Before Apr 2026
53%
Before May 2026
68%
Before Jun 2026
85%
Before Jul 2026
97%
Before Aug 2026
97%
Before Sep 2026

Resolution criteria

The Digital Independence citizens' initiative aims to ensure that critical digital services are built on top of Finnish and European actors. The market resolves YES when the initiative reaches 50,000 valid signatures verified by the Digital and Population Data Services Agency.

Signatures must be collected within six months of the initiative's date. Resolution will be confirmed via the official Finnish citizens' initiative platform at kansalaisaloite.fi or through official verification by the Digital and Population Data Services Agency at dvv.fi.

Background

The Finnish Citizens' Initiative was introduced in 2012 to increase participatory democracy on the national level. When 50,000 citizens eligible to vote express their support to a certain initiative, the Finnish Parliament is obliged to process the initiative. The Digital Independence initiative proposes that Finland ensure basic rights of citizens, democracy and national security are not dependent on actors under the purview of governments outside the EU/EEA.

Considerations

The Digital and Population Data Services Agency recommends that organisers collect more than the minimum number of statements of support required to prevent the initiative from being rejected should some of the statements prove to be invalid. All statements of support collected electronically are checked by comparing information to the Population Information System, while statements in paper form are checked by random sampling.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
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@HeikkiSairanen march can resolve

@JussiVilleHeiskanen good point. Done!

What is up with the graph though, and the projected result?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen the official sites logic is just to draw the needed amount. Not really useful for projecting.

bought Ṁ28 YES

Hmm. This does create an incentive for me, that may not be entirely healthy. Should I for moral clarity not post or discuss the petition on other platforms... testing one's morals, this is.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen yeah. I’m totally biased and working to get this done as quickly as possible… but would like to know what some realistic projections are.

@HeikkiSairanen May to June is where there is the greatest uncertainty over probabilities.

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