Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the S&P 500 close higher on November 2 than it closed on November 1?
28
Ṁ450Ṁ6k
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES

Closes 2pm EDT. NYSE closes 4pm EDT.

S&P Forecasting Dashboard

Resolves based on: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP


Trading this question counts towards the S&P Forecasting Tournament for the month of November (inspired by Alex B. Goode). At the end of the month top traders are eligible for a prize.

Rank---Award
1      2500
2      1500
3      1000

Good luck forecasting!


Trading in this market counts towards the @SirCryptomind Q4 Mana Leaderboard.

DASHBOARD (General Info, Top 10 Prize Info, Bonus Mana Rewards Info, etc.)

SIMILAR MARKETS

LEADERBOARD STATS

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ189
2Ṁ60
3Ṁ40
4Ṁ36
5Ṁ31
Sort by:
predictedYES

YES 4,317.78

The damn thing is up half a percent in pre market

@ScipioFabius Sell your NO before it is too late!

predictedNO

@TeddyWeverka The probability has decayed to a probability where its not worth selling it anymore

predictedNO

@ScipioFabius so, is the odds of a 1.6% crash in less then three hours 3%?

predictedNO

@TeddyWeverka oh damn, nice tool, thanks!