Will the S&P 500 close higher on August 30 than it closed on August 29?
32
650Ṁ6848
resolved Aug 30
Resolved
YES

Closes 2pm EDT. NYSE closes 4pm EDT.

Resolves according to the display at https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP at the end of the day.


This market is part of the S&P Forecasting tournament for the month of August (Inspired by Goode). At the end of the month top traders are eligible for a prize.

Rank---Award
1      1500
2      1000
3      750

Good luck forecasting!

Note: Keeping this market as similar to how Alex has been running it. Not trying to change what people are enjoying trading on.


Trading in this market counts towards the ▲ SirCryptomind ▲ Crypto & Stock ▲ leaderboard.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ192
2Ṁ117
3Ṁ83
4Ṁ80
5Ṁ63
Sort by:

YES 4,514.87

Remember, tomorrow is the last day for the August leaderboard. Trading has started for Sept 1st question.

Winners will be announced as soon as i resolve the 31st question. Bare with me as I'll be in Jasper, so cell wifi may be shit.

Alright, I honestly believe this is less then 90%, but Im not putting up more. Will be a fun ride

predictedNO

@ScipioFabius You already have enough to win the Top Trader bonus, should your position play out. That tempted me to buy along side you to until my potential losses would have brought me to below Cryptomind's Top Trader status.

predictedNO

@TeddyWeverka Yes, this fact also went into my mental risk/reward analysis. But, alas, 90% is 90% and looks like this time will be a whiff again.

@ScipioFabius .36% is not too off but looking more like 95% to me now that there are only 30 mins left of trading.

Would have been a sick bet tho

predictedNO

@Haws Yup, it has decayed to a very low probability now.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules