[December Start] Will the S&P 500 close higher on December 1 than it closed on November 30?
[December Start] Will the S&P 500 close higher on December 1 than it closed on November 30?
22
390Ṁ3041resolved Dec 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Closes 2pm EST. NYSE closes 4pm EST.
S&P Forecasting Dashboard
Resolves based on: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP
Trading this question counts towards the S&P Forecasting Tournament for the month of December (inspired by Alex B. Goode). At the end of the month top traders are eligible for a prize.
Rank-Award
1 | 5000
2 | 2500
3 | 1000
4 | 500
5 | 350
6 | 300
7 | 250
8 | 200
9 | 150
10 | 100Good luck forecasting!
Trading in this market counts towards the @SirCryptomind Q4 Mana Leaderboard.
DASHBOARD (General Info, Top 10 Prize Info, Bonus Mana Rewards Info, etc.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ163 | |
| 2 | Ṁ104 | |
| 3 | Ṁ31 | |
| 4 | Ṁ22 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
People are also trading
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
58% chance
S&P 500 above $5900 on June 6?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?
34% chance
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $10,000 before the end of 2030?
33% chance
1+1=?
How low will S&P500 go in 2025?
4,853
Which company will be the largest in the world by market cap at the end of 2025?
Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025?
42% chance
How large will the Semiconductor Industry (Nvidia, TSMC, AMD etc.) be in 2030? 🤖🧠🦾🚀✨🌐
What will be the P(doom) of these individuals 6 months after ASI has been created but hasn't wiped out humanity yet?
Sort by:
Allow me a moment to plug the Bitcoin league. I am sure most of you trade both, but it has a very juicy reward structure for December!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
58% chance
S&P 500 above $5900 on June 6?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?
34% chance
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $10,000 before the end of 2030?
33% chance
1+1=?
How low will S&P500 go in 2025?
4,853
Which company will be the largest in the world by market cap at the end of 2025?
Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025?
42% chance
How large will the Semiconductor Industry (Nvidia, TSMC, AMD etc.) be in 2030? 🤖🧠🦾🚀✨🌐
What will be the P(doom) of these individuals 6 months after ASI has been created but hasn't wiped out humanity yet?