Will we get another high quality data point on Ball Lightning by 2030?
Basic
3
Ṁ392030
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
High quality is defined loosely as "At least as good as the 2014 video from china" (https://www.livescience.com/42732-ball-lightning-video.html) although it doesn't have to be a video + visual light spectrum: for example, "unusually reputable eye witness account of ball going through wall + audio recording" or "low resolution security camera footage + high quality examination of aftermath" or "high resolution cell phone footage" would all count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be wonders in the sky by 2050?
65% chance
Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030?
17% chance
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
26% chance
Will the technology to make a Dyson sphere exist by 2040?
31% chance
Will glueballs be definitively observed experimentally by the end of 2035?
58% chance
Bioluminescent tree lighting before 2030?
49% chance
Will element 119 be discovered by the end of 2030?
39% chance
Will there be another positive leap second by end of 2035?
38% chance
Will I get Lumina before 2030?
50% chance
Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?
45% chance