The Wirral South by-election in February 1997 was the last by-election of the 1992 - 1997 Parliament and recorded a swing to Labour of 17.3%, the Blackpool South by-election caused by the resignation of Scott Benton following a recall petition being gathered, is likely to be the last by-election of this Parliament, therefore will the swing to Labour in Blackpool South be greater than 17.3% or smaller than 17.3%

Question will resolve as YES if the swing is greater than 17.3% and NO if the swing is lower