Former OpenAI superalignment team member Leopold Aschenbrenner drops off the radar for a two-year period sometime before 2035. Resolves as YES if he makes no public statements about AI or anything else of consequence (politics, economics, strategy, technology) for a two-year period. Public statements include public declassified articles, tweets, blog posts, whatever.

If Leopold suddenly becomes a Red Sox fan and tweets about their wins and losses, that doesn't count as a statement of consequence.

If Leopold tweets that he believes AI researchers should receive 24-7 secret service security details for national security reasons, then that is a statement about AI and national security, so it is a statement of consequence.