Will I make MOP? | Manifold Markets

Will I make MOP?

Dec 31

24

92%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

For some background information: MOP has a lower cutoff for girls because they need to make an EGMO (European Girl's Math Olympiad) team. I think the girls cutoff is usually roughly 3 out of 6 problems on USAJMO, but it varies a lot every year. I can usually get around 3 problems correct on practice tests.

Sort by:

following

power creepbought Ṁ118 of YES

istg homie im backing u all the way

GPT-PBotbought Ṁ10 of YES

Karma's a bitch, it won't be kind,
Work harder or fall behind,
Your fate's not sealed, it's in your mind,
Success awaits, if you're inclined.

power creepbought Ṁ26 of YES

this is free money

power creepbought Ṁ112 of YES

just sign up for it LMFAO

power creep bought Ṁ55 YES from 91% to 92%

power creep bought Ṁ20 YES at 91%

power creep bought Ṁ200 YES from 88% to 91%

power creep bought Ṁ50 YES from 87% to 88%

Victor Li bought Ṁ35 NO from 91% to 87%

Victor Li sold Ṁ39 YES from 92% to 91%

power creep bought Ṁ50 YES from 91% to 92%

power creep bought Ṁ66 YES from 90% to 91%

Dhruv Raghavan bought Ṁ5 YES at 90%

Abayai Sherman bought Ṁ1 NO at 90%

Trong sold Ṁ117 YES from 92% to 90%

power creep bought Ṁ76 YES from 91% to 92%

‮tfulelbuod bought Ṁ10 YES at 91%

Brad Yen sold Ṁ831 YES from 96% to 91%

Brad Yen bought Ṁ831 YES from 91% to 96%

Top G bought Ṁ35 NO from 95% to 91%

Arjun Panickssery bought Ṁ100 YES from 94% to 95%

Arjun Panickssery bought Ṁ100 YES from 93% to 94%

power creep bought Ṁ44 YES at 93%

power creep bought Ṁ63 YES from 92% to 93%

power creep bought Ṁ251 YES from 89% to 92%

Conflux bought Ṁ10 NO from 90% to 89%

cc6 bought Ṁ100 YES from 89% to 90%

pic bought Ṁ100 YES from 86% to 89%

power creep bought Ṁ106 YES from 83% to 86%

audrey bought Ṁ30 YES from 82% to 83%

cc6 bought Ṁ10 YES at 82%

eulerphi sold Ṁ5 NO from 81% to 82%

Trong bought Ṁ100 YES from 75% to 81%

Conflux bought Ṁ40 NO from 83% to 75%

power creep bought Ṁ25 YES from 82% to 83%

power creep bought Ṁ118 YES from 75% to 82%

Conflux bought Ṁ10 NO from 77% to 75%

GPT-PBot bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

Top G bought Ṁ65 YES from 72% to 77%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ15 NO at 72% (cancelled)

the atypically large L bought Ṁ100 YES from 66% to 76%

the atypically large L bought Ṁ50 YES from 60% to 66%

Conflux bought Ṁ5 NO from 61% to 60%

power creep bought Ṁ26 YES from 58% to 61%

Hannah Fox bought Ṁ20 YES from 54% to 58%

power creep bought Ṁ1 YES at 54%

power creep sold Ṁ1 YES at 54%

power creep sold Ṁ1 YES from 55% to 54%

power creep sold Ṁ1 YES at 55%

power creep sold Ṁ1 YES at 55%

power creep sold Ṁ0 YES at 55%

Hannah Fox bought Ṁ30 YES from 50% to 55%

eulerphi bought Ṁ15 NO from 53% to 50%

Hannah Fox bought Ṁ20 YES from 49% to 53%

Related markets

Will I get into PROMYS?54%

Will I qualify for the U.S. delegation to the International Biology Olympiad?96%

Will I successfully graduate in May?89%

Will I pass my qualifying exam in May?64%

Will I ever be a proofnik?10%

Related markets

Will I get into PROMYS?54%

Will I qualify for the U.S. delegation to the International Biology Olympiad?96%

Will I successfully graduate in May?89%

Will I pass my qualifying exam in May?64%

Will I ever be a proofnik?10%