Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, between September 15, 2026, and December 31, 2027 (or the market's final closing date), any additional foreign central bank or national monetary authority officially announces, initiates, or completes the relocation or repatriation of its gold reserves stored within the United States (primarily at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York) to a domestic vault or a custody location outside the United States.

• Exclusions: This market excludes France (which completed its location swap of 129 tonnes by January 2026) and the Netherlands (which completed its relocation of 86 tonnes from North America to Europe in August 2026). Only relocation actions or announcements publicized after September 15, 2026, will qualify.

• Eligible Actions: The move can take the form of physical transportation (repatriation) or a de facto location swap (selling gold held in the US and purchasing equivalent physical gold in domestic or European vaults).

• Sources of Truth: Official statements from national central banks, reports from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the World Gold Council, or major financial news agencies (such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or the Financial Times).

If no additional central bank announces or executes a relocation of gold reserves out of the United States within the specified timeframe, this market resolves to NO.

Background

Storing sovereign gold at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has historically been standard practice for foreign central banks seeking deep liquidity and secure custody. However, mounting geopolitical tensions and the freezing of foreign reserves have accelerated a global trend toward gold repatriation as countries prioritize absolute domestic control over foreign custody.

In early 2026, France quietly finished exiting its remaining gold exposure at the New York Fed. In September 2026, the Dutch central bank (DNB) announced it had moved 86 tonnes of gold from North America to London and domestic storage in Zeist. Major foreign gold reserves still remain in New York.

This description was generated by AI.