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MANIFOLD
Difference between the first and the second in the GC of the Tour de France
2
Ṁ225Ṁ26
2027
6.2 minutes
expected
9%
0 - 2:29
9%
2:30 - 3:59
9%
4:00 - 4:59
9%
5:00 - 5.99
34%
6:00 - 6.59
9%
7:00 - 8:29
9%
8:30 - 9:59
9%
Above 10:00

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official final General Classification (GC) time difference between the first-placed (winner) and second-placed riders of the 2026 Tour de France, which is scheduled to conclude on July 26, 2026.

  • Source of Truth: The final time gap will be sourced from the official classifications page on the Tour de France website (letour.fr).

  • Edge cases:

    • If the 2026 Tour de France is shortened or canceled early, the market will resolve based on the standings declared official by the Amaury Sport Organisation (A.S.O.).

    • Subsequent disqualifications or adjustments to the standings made after July 31, 2026, will not be factored into the resolution.

    • If a rider is penalized or disqualified before July 31, 2026, the updated official standings as of that date will be used.

Background

The 113th edition of the Tour de France runs from July 4 to July 26, 2026.

Recent final GC winning margins between first and second place:

  • 2025: 4 minutes and 24 seconds (Tadej Pogačar over Jonas Vingegaard)

  • 2024: 6 minutes and 17 seconds (Tadej Pogačar over Jonas Vingegaard)

  • 2023: 7 minutes and 29 seconds (Jonas Vingegaard over Tadej Pogačar)

  • 2022: 2 minutes and 43 seconds (Jonas Vingegaard over Tadej Pogačar)

  • 2021: 5 minutes and 20 seconds (Tadej Pogačar over Jonas Vingegaard)

  • 2020: 59 seconds (Tadej Pogačar over Primož Roglič)

As of Stage 10 (July 14, 2026), Tadej Pogačar leads the general classification with Jonas Vingegaard in second place at +3 minutes and 36 seconds, followed closely by Remco Evenepoel in third at +4 minutes and 6 seconds.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
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